Recursive Bayesian inference (RBI) provides optimal Bayesian latent variable estimates in real-time settings with streaming noisy observations. Active RBI attempts to effectively select queries that lead to more informative observations to rapidly reduce uncertainty until a confident decision is made. However, typically the optimality objectives of inference and query mechanisms are not jointly selected. Furthermore, conventional active querying methods stagger due to misleading prior information. Motivated by information theoretic approaches, we propose an active RBI framework with unified inference and query selection steps through Renyi entropy and $\alpha$-divergence. We also propose a new objective based on Renyi entropy and its changes called Momentum that encourages exploration for misleading prior cases. The proposed active RBI framework is applied to the trajectory of the posterior changes in the probability simplex that provides a coordinated active querying and decision making with specified confidence. Under certain assumptions, we analytically demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms conventional methods such as mutual information by allowing the selections of unlikely events. We present empirical and experimental performance evaluations on two applications: restaurant recommendation and brain-computer interface (BCI) typing systems.
翻译:积极的RBI试图有效选择查询,从而导致更多的信息观测,从而迅速减少不确定性,直至作出有把握的决定。然而,一般情况下,没有共同选择推断和查询机制的最佳性目标。此外,传统活跃的查询方法因误导先前的信息而错开。受信息理论方法的驱动,我们提议一个积极的RBI框架,通过Renyi entropy和$\alpha$-diverence来统一推断和查询选择步骤,通过Renyi entropy和$\alpha$-diverence来统一推断和查询。我们还根据Renyi entropy及其变化提出一个新的目标,即鼓励探索误导先前案例的动态。拟议的积极的RBI框架适用于概率简单x的后表变化轨迹,即提供协调的积极查询和决策,以特定的信心。根据某些假设,我们分析表明,拟议的方法超越了常规方法,例如相互信息,允许选择意外事件。我们介绍了两个应用软件的经验和实验性业绩评估:餐馆界面和脑计算机。