Do we live in a "Golden Age of Conspiracy Theories?" In the last few decades, conspiracy theories have proliferated on the Internet with some having dangerous real-world consequences. A large contingent of those who participated in the January 6th attack on the US Capitol believed fervently in the QAnon conspiracy theory. In this work, we study the relationships amongst five prominent conspiracy theories (QAnon, COVID, UFO/Aliens, 9-11, and Flat-Earth) and each of their respective relationships to the news media, both mainstream and fringe. Identifying and publishing a set of 755 different conspiracy theory websites dedicated to our five conspiracy theories, we find that each set often hyperlinks to the same external domains, with COVID and QAnon conspiracy theory websites largest amount of shared connections. Examining the role of news media, we further find that not only do outlets known for spreading misinformation hyperlink to our set of conspiracy theory websites more often than mainstream websites but this hyperlinking has increased dramatically between 2018 and 2021, with the advent of QAnon and the start of COVID-19 pandemic. Using partial Granger-causality, we uncover several positive correlative relationships between the hyperlinks from misinformation websites and the popularity of conspiracy theory websites, suggesting the prominent role that misinformation news outlets play in popularizing many conspiracy theories.
翻译:我们是否生活在一个“阴谋论黄金时代”?在过去几十年中,阴谋论在互联网上大量传播,其中一些甚至具有危险的现实后果。许多参与1月6日攻击美国国会大厦的人都坚信QAnon阴谋论。在本文中,我们研究了5个著名阴谋论(QAnon、COVID、UFO/外星人、9-11和平面地球)之间的关系,以及每种阴谋论与新闻媒体(包括主流媒体和边缘媒体)的关系。我们确定并发布了755个不同的阴谋论网站,专门致力于我们研究的五种阴谋论。我们发现,每种阴谋论网站经常与相同的外部域名进行超链接,其中COVID和QAnon阴谋论网站具有最大数量的共享连接。在研究新闻媒体的作用时,我们进一步发现,不仅错误信息传播的媒体更频繁地进行超链接到我们的一组阴谋论网站,而且在2018年至2021年期间,随着QAnon和COVID-19大流行的开始,这种超链接已经显著增加。使用部分Granger因果关系,我们发现错误信息源超链接和阴谋论网站的受欢迎程度之间存在一些正相关关系,这表明错误信息新闻媒体在推动许多阴谋论中发挥了突出的作用。