Understanding the complex structure of multivariate extremes is a major challenge in various fields from portfolio monitoring and environmental risk management to insurance. In the framework of multivariate Extreme Value Theory, a common characterization of extremes' dependence structure is the angular measure. It is a suitable measure to work in extreme regions as it provides meaningful insights concerning the subregions where extremes tend to concentrate their mass. The present paper develops a novel optimization-based approach to assess the dependence structure of extremes. This support identification scheme rewrites as estimating clusters of features which best capture the support of extremes. The dimension reduction technique we provide is applied to statistical learning tasks such as feature clustering and anomaly detection. Numerical experiments provide strong empirical evidence of the relevance of our approach.
翻译:了解多变极端的复杂结构是从组合监测和环境风险管理到保险等各个领域的一项重大挑战。在多变极端价值理论的框架内,极端依赖性结构的共同特征描述是三角尺度。这是在极端区域开展工作的恰当措施,因为它为极端群体往往集中其规模的次区域提供了有意义的见解。本文件为评估极端群体依赖性结构制定了一种新的优化方法。这一识别方案支持重写,以估计最能捕捉极端支持的特征组合。我们提供的减少维度技术应用到特征集群和异常现象探测等统计学习任务。数字实验为我们的方法的相关性提供了有力的实证证据。