A Global Stochastic Optimization Particle Filter Algorithm

We introduce a new algorithm for expected log-likelihood maximization in situations where the objective function is multi-modal and/or has saddle points, that we term G-PFSO. The key idea underpinning G-PFSO is to define a sequence of probability distributions which (a) is shown to concentrate on the target parameter value and (b) can be efficiently estimated by means of a standard particle filter algorithm. These distributions depends on a learning rate, where the faster the learning rate the quicker they concentrate on the desired parameter value, but the less is the ability of G-PFSO to escape from a local optimum of the objective function. To reconcile ability to escape from a local optimum and fast convergence rate, the proposed estimator exploits the acceleration property of averaging, well-known in the stochastic gradient literature. Based on challenging estimation problems, our numerical experiments suggest that the estimator introduced in this paper converges at the optimal rate, and illustrate the practical usefulness of G-PFSO for parameter inference in large datasets. If the focus of this work is expected log-likelihood maximization the proposed approach and its theory apply more generally for optimizing a function defined through an expectation.