Modelling the extremal dependence of bivariate variables is important in a wide variety of practical applications, including environmental planning, catastrophe modelling and hydrology. The majority of these approaches are based on the framework of bivariate regular variation, and a wide range of literature is available for estimating the dependence structure in this setting. However, this framework is only applicable to variables exhibiting asymptotic dependence, even though asymptotic independence is often observed in practice. In this paper, we consider the so-called `angular dependence function'; this quantity summarises the extremal dependence structure for asymptotically independent variables. Until recently, only pointwise estimators of the angular dependence function have been available. We introduce a range of global estimators and compare them to another recently introduced technique for global estimation through a systematic simulation study, and a case study on river flow data from the north of England, UK.
翻译:通过角度相关函数的全局估计改进渐进独立双变量极端值的估计方法
研究摘要:
建立极值相关性模型是环境规划、灾害建模和水文学等领域的研究热点。多数相关研究应用双变量正常分布框架估计相关结构,该技术虽然对渐进相关变量适用,却对那些渐进独立变量无法运用。本文研究“角度相关函数”,该函数概括了渐进独立变量的极端值相关结构。以英国北部河流数据为案例,通过对比对最近引入的另一全局估计技术的系统模拟研究,引入了一系列全局估计器。