山区路网震后分阶段应急及资源保障集成优化研究

项目名称： 山区路网震后分阶段应急及资源保障集成优化研究

项目编号： No.71502059

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2016

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 李双琳

作者单位： 湖南师范大学

项目金额： 17万元

中文摘要： 山区路网因地形限制，相对城市路网，呈树形或串形，表现为低连通度，易受地震影响阻碍应急救援，凸显山区路网震后应急的重要性。此外，路网震后应急还呈现阶段性特征，当前研究着重震后抢通阶段城市路网的应急且与资源保障是分开研究的，然而，路网震后应急离不开资源保障。故需分析山区路网结构及震后分阶段应急特性，研究山区路网震后分阶段应急及资源保障集成优化问题：1) 抢通阶段，考虑时间紧迫与需求模糊，对虚拟抢修点、交通管制下及模糊需求下的抢修排程及资源保障集成优化问题进行研究；2) 保通阶段，考虑突发次生灾害，研究随机需求下震后保通动态排程及资源保障集成优化问题；3) 灾后重建阶段，基于山区路网灾后重建优先级的资源优化配置问题。最后，以我国地震实际为依据，实证研究我国山区路网震后分阶段应急及资源保障集成优化问题，开发一套辅助决策支持系统。课题成果对提高我国乃至世界山区路网震后应急水平具有重要理论和现实意义。

中文关键词： 山区路网；分阶段应急；资源保障；集成优化；细菌群体趋药性算法

英文摘要： The montanic road-network is restricted by terrain, comparing with the urban road-network, connectivity is low and the shape like tree or string. The montanic road-network is easy to be affected by the earthquake and then hindering the emergency rescue, which highlights the importance of montanic road-network emergency management after an earthquake. In addition, the post-earthquake montanic road-network emergency management presented apparent phases of features and current researches mainly focus on the period of repair of urban road-network recovery, what’s more, these researches were separated with supply support. However, the road-network emergency management cannot do without timely supply support. Therefore, it is needed to analysis the montanic road-network topological structure and the phases of montanic road-network emergency management features, and then to integrate optimization of post-earthquake montanic road-network phases of emergency management and supply support: 1) in the period of repair, considering time is limited and demand is fuzzy, researches on the problem of integrating optimization of repairing schedule of the montanic road-network and supply support with virtual repair point, traffic control and fuzzy demand; 2) in the phase of restoration, considering the secondary disasters happened suddenly, researches on the problem of integrating optimization of dynamical restoration schedule of montanic road-network and supply support with stochastic demand; 3) in the stage of rehabilitation, the main problem is priority rehabilitation-based montanic road-network resources allocation optimization. Finally, we take the earthquakes were broke-out in China as background, empirical researches on post-earthquake montanic road-network phases of emergency management and supply support, and an assistant decision support system is developed. The researching results have important theoretical and practical significance to improve our country and even the world post-earthquake montanic road-network emergency management level.

英文关键词： Montanic Road-network;Phases of Emergency Management;Supply Support;Integrated Optimization;Bacterial Colony Chemotaxis Algorithm