中国工业地理格局变化及其环境效应

项目名称： 中国工业地理格局变化及其环境效应

项目编号： No.41271130

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 天文学、地球科学

项目作者： 贺灿飞

作者单位： 北京大学

项目金额： 75万元

中文摘要： 随着全球经济的不确定增加，市场需求结构发生变化，中国劳动力成本、土地供应、环境规制、物流成本以及地方政府政策随之变化，中国工业正通过产业转移、产业升级、结构调整、企业迁移与扩张等进行空间重组，这种空间重构存在显著的产业差异，形成原因各异，可能造成工业污染排放的空间转移或空间扩散，不同类型的产业空间变化也通过不同渠道影响工业污染排放的空间格局。本项目依托工业普查数据和环境普查资料，采用定量方法系统性地展示和模拟不同类型工业空间格局变化及其环境污染空间转移与扩散，通过建立产业-区域面板数据模型揭示中国工业空间格局变化机制和影响因素及渠道，通过不同类型产业内历年新成立的企业区位研究揭示中国工业地理格局变化的微观机制；最后，本项目定量地分析中国工业空间重塑的直接和间接环境效应及其发生途径，揭示污染型产业的空间变化机制。项目研究成果将拓展转型期中国工业地理研究，推进工业地理与环境经济学的交叉研究。

中文关键词： 工业地理格局；企业空间动态；路径依赖；演化经济地理；工业污染排放

英文摘要： With the growing uncertainty of the global economy, Chinese firms will encounter structural shifts of markets. As Chinese economy expands, Chinese manufacutring firms would face increasing costs of labor, land,logistics and stringent environmental regulations. Providing with the new development environment, Chinese industries have undergone a process of spatial restructuring through industrial relocation, industrial upgrading, and firm migration. The spatial restructuring process however differs across industries and could be accredited to a variety of forces. The spatial change of industries could cause the spatial diffusion or spatial relocation of industrial pollution in China through different channels. Based on micro level census data, this study will first model and simulate the spatial change of industries at the different spatial levels and then build econometric models to identify industrial and regional determinants of spatial changes of Chinese industries. This study will further explore the driving forces of spatial changes of industris by investigating the locational choices of newly established industrial enterprises in different types of industries. This study will then describe the spatial pattern and spatial change of industrial pollution and further decompose industrial pollution into scale eff

英文关键词： Geographical distribution of industries；Firm Dynamics；Path Dependence；Evolutionary Economic Geography；Industrial Pollution