基于Stackelberg博弈的我国温室气体减排对策研究

项目名称： 基于Stackelberg博弈的我国温室气体减排对策研究

项目编号： No.71273039

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 穆海林

作者单位： 大连理工大学

项目金额： 57万元

中文摘要： 我国已制定了严格的温室气体减排中远期目标。在这一目标的约束下，如何制定我国未来的经济发展模式，使减排成本最小即满足减排目标条件下经济活动效益最大化是一重要的理论与现实研究课题。本项目基于Stackelberg博弈理论，结合我国温室气体（GHG）减排所面临的若干亟待解决的关键问题和具体国情，采用数量经济学、能源与环境经济学与现代控制论等多学科的理论与方法，从提高资源能源利用效率的源头控制即减排和末端处理即消减两方面入手，开发适合我国国情的中长期温室气体排放抑制主从递阶决策模型，分析研究我国温室气体减排及消减潜力与应对策略。该项研究在强调理论方法的基础上，注重实际应用，促进决策理论、运筹学、经济学等多学科的交叉融合，旨在为我国制定最佳的碳减排畅销机制提供决策信息参考和理论方法支撑。

中文关键词： 博弈论；温室气体；决策理论；预测模型；

英文摘要： China has formulated a strict mid-long term goal of greenhouse gas emission reduction. Under the constraints of this goal, how to develop China's future economic development model in order to minimize the reduction cost, namely, maximize economic activity benefit under the conditions of meeting emission reduction targets is an important theoretical and practical research topics. Combining a number of key issues to be solved encountered by China's greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction and specific national conditions, based on the Stackelberg game theory, etc. this project adopts multi-disciplinary theories and methods of quantitative economics, energy and environmental economics and modern control theory, starting with the source control (emission reduction) and end treatment (emission abatement) for improving utilization efficiency for resource and energy, develops a leader-follower hierarchical decision model which is suitable for China's mid-long term greenhouse gas emission inhibition, and analyses the potential and strategies for China's greenhouse gas reduction and abatement. On the basis of the emphasis on theoretical approaches, the study focuses on the practical application and promotes the multidisciplinary integration of decision making theory, operations research, economics, etc. It aims at providi

英文关键词： Stackelgerg Game；Greenhouse Gas；Decision Theory；Prediction Model；