公共就业规模和结构优化的机理与模型

项目名称： 公共就业规模和结构优化的机理与模型

项目编号： No.71461019

项目类型： 地区科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2015

项目学科： 管理科学

项目作者： 邓群钊

作者单位： 南昌大学

项目金额： 35万元

中文摘要： 公共就业规模确定和结构优化的机理是本项目要研究的科学问题，研究成果将为最优规模路径控制和公共就业层级结构动态调整提供理论基础，有利于支持政府职能的实现。首先，应用DEMATEL-ISM集成方法研究以公共就业规模、政府支出规模和政府职能规模之间关系为主导结构的诸多因素间复杂关联关系，构建本研究的逻辑框架。据此框架，寻找支持研究问题的关键要素及其本质联系。其次，建立动态经济学模型，研究公共就业规模与经济发展、社会发展之间的非线性关系；利用DEA-SBM-Tobit回归修正方法，在经济与社会发展双目标下，研究公共就业规模的效率生成机理。整合这2点研究，讨论公共就业规模确定的机理，并寻找到达最优规模的控制路径。最后，建立公共就业层级结构的优化模型，研究公共就业规模与政府各项职能的适应性关系和各地方政府在公共就业规模优化分配中的博弈行为，探索公共就业层级结构的优化机理。

中文关键词： 公共就业；政府规模；动态经济学；系统建模；系统工程

英文摘要： Mechanisms of pub1ic employment scale determination and structure optimization are scientific problems to be studied in this project, and results will provide the theoretical basis for the optimal path control and dynamic adjustment of pub1ic employment hierarchical structure, and support the realization of government functions. Firstly, using DEMATEL-ISM integration method to study complex relationships between many factors based on the dominant structure of relationship between pub1ic employment scale, government expenditure scale and government functions scale, and these researches constitute the logical framework of the project. According to this logical framework, to search for key elements and its essential relationship which support the research. Secondly, the establishment of a dynamic economic model to study non-linear relationship between public employment scale and economic development, social development; under the dual goals of economic and social development, using DEA-SBM-Tobit regression correction method to study creating mechanism of efficiency of public employment scale. Combining these two researches to discuss the mechanism of pub1ic employment scale determination and search control path of optimal scale. Finally, the establishment of an optimization model of public employment hierarchical structure to study adaptability relationship between public employment scale and government various functions and governments' game behavior on the optimal allocation of public employment scale, and to explore optimizing mechanism of public employment hierarchical structure.

英文关键词： Public employment;The size of government;The dynamic economics;System modeling;Systems engineering