Valid online inference is an important problem in contemporary multiple testing research, to which various solutions have been proposed recently. It is well-known that these methods can suffer from a significant loss of power if the null $p$-values are conservative. This occurs frequently, for instance whenever discrete tests are performed. To reduce conservatism, we introduce the method of super-uniformity reward (SURE). This approach works by incorporating information about the individual null cumulative distribution functions (or upper bounds of them), which we assume to be available. Our approach yields several new "rewarded" procedures that theoretically control online error criteria based either on the family-wise error rate (FWER) or the marginal false discovery rate (mFDR). We prove that the rewarded procedures uniformly improve upon the non-rewarded ones, and illustrate their performance for simulated and real data.
翻译:有效的在线推论是当代多种测试研究中的一个重要问题,最近提出了各种解决办法。众所周知,如果一美元值为保守,这些方法可能会遭受重大权力损失。这经常发生,例如,进行离散测试时。为了减少保守主义,我们引入了超统一性奖励方法(SURE ) 。这个方法通过纳入关于我们假定可以提供的个别无效累积分配功能(或其上限)的信息而发挥作用。我们的方法产生了若干新的“奖励”程序,根据家庭误差率(FWER)或边际错误发现率(MFDR)在理论上控制在线错误标准。我们证明,奖励程序对非回报的功能一致改进,并用模拟和真实数据来说明其性能。