Traffic flow forecasting is of great significance for improving the efficiency of transportation systems and preventing emergencies. Due to the highly non-linearity and intricate evolutionary patterns of short-term and long-term traffic flow, existing methods often fail to take full advantage of spatial-temporal information, especially the various temporal patterns with different period shifting and the characteristics of road segments. Besides, the globality representing the absolute value of traffic status indicators and the locality representing the relative value have not been considered simultaneously. This paper proposes a neural network model that focuses on the globality and locality of traffic networks as well as the temporal patterns of traffic data. The cycle-based dilated deformable convolution block is designed to capture different time-varying trends on each node accurately. Our model can extract both global and local spatial information since we combine two graph convolutional network methods to learn the representations of nodes and edges. Experiments on two real-world datasets show that the model can scrutinize the spatial-temporal correlation of traffic data, and its performance is better than the compared state-of-the-art methods. Further analysis indicates that the locality and globality of the traffic networks are critical to traffic flow prediction and the proposed TSSRGCN model can adapt to the various temporal traffic patterns.
翻译:交通流量预测对于提高运输系统的效率和预防紧急情况非常重要。由于短期和长期交通流量高度非线性和错综复杂的演进模式,现有方法往往不能充分利用空间时空信息,特别是不同时间变化的不同时间模式和道路段的特点。此外,没有同时考虑代表交通状况指标绝对值的全球性和代表相对价值的地点。本文件提议了一个神经网络模型,侧重于交通网络的全球性和地点以及交通数据的时间模式。基于循环的变形变形变形区块的设计是为了准确捕捉每个节点的不同时间变化趋势。我们的模型可以提取全球和地方空间信息,因为我们结合了两种图形变动网络方法,以了解节点和边缘的表述。两个真实世界数据集的实验表明,该模型可以仔细审查交通数据的空间-时空相关性,其性优于比较的状态方法。进一步分析表明,通信网络的地域和全球流量模式与拟议的流量变化趋势是关键趋势。