Eye gaze is considered a promising interaction modality in extende reality (XR) environments. However, determining selection intention from gaze data often requires additional manual selection techniques. We present a Bayesian-based machine learning (ML) model to predict user selection intention in real-time using only gaze data. Our model uses a Bayesian approach to transform gaze data into selection probabilities, which are then fed into an ML model to discriminate selection intentions. In Study 1, our model achieved real-time inference with an accuracy of 0.97 and an F1 score of 0.96. In Study 2, we found that the selection intention inferred by our model enables more comfortable and accurate interactions compared to traditional techniques.
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