Logistic regression is a commonly used building block in ecological modeling, but its additive structure among environmental predictors often assumes compensatory relationships between predictors, which can lead to problematic results. In reality, the distribution of species is often determined by the least-favored factor, according to von Liebig's Law of the Minimum, which is not addressed in modeling. To address this issue, we introduced the min-linear logistic regression model, which has a built-in minimum structure of competing factors. In our empirical analysis of the distribution of Asiatic black bears ($\textit{Ursus thibetanus}$), we found that the min-linear model performs well compared to other methods and has several advantages. By using the model, we were able to identify ecologically meaningful limiting factors on bear distribution across the survey area. The model's inherent simplicity and interpretability make it a promising tool for extending into other widely used ecological models.
翻译:物流回归是生态模型中常用的构件,但其环境预测器中的添加结构往往假定预测器之间的补偿关系,这可能导致问题的结果。在现实中,根据冯·利比格的《最低限法》,物种的分布往往由最不利因素决定,而模型没有涉及这一点。为了解决这一问题,我们引入了微线物流回归模型,该模型内含竞争因素的最低结构。在我们对亚洲黑熊分布的实证分析中,我们发现微线模型与其他方法相比表现良好,并具有若干优点。通过模型,我们得以确定影响整个调查区分布的具有生态意义的限制因素。该模型固有的简单性和可解释性使它成为推广到其他广泛使用的生态模型的有利工具。