Differentiating noisy, discrete measurements in order to fit an ordinary differential equation can be unreasonably effective. Assuming square-integrable noise and minimal flow regularity, we construct and analyze a finite-difference differentiation filter and a Tikhonov-regularized least squares estimator for the continuous-time parameter-linear system. Combining these contributions in series, we obtain a finite-sample bound on mean absolute error of estimation. As a by-product, we offer a novel analysis of stochastically perturbed Moore-Penrose pseudoinverses.
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