One of the goals of learning algorithms is to complement and reduce the burden on human decision makers. The expert deferral setting wherein an algorithm can either predict on its own or defer the decision to a downstream expert helps accomplish this goal. A fundamental aspect of this setting is the need to learn complementary predictors that improve on the human's weaknesses rather than learning predictors optimized for average error. In this work, we provide the first theoretical analysis of the benefit of learning complementary predictors in expert deferral. To enable efficiently learning such predictors, we consider a family of consistent surrogate loss functions for expert deferral and analyze their theoretical properties. Finally, we design active learning schemes that require minimal amount of data of human expert predictions in order to learn accurate deferral systems.
翻译:学习算法的目标之一是补充和减少人类决策者的负担。专家推迟设置,一种算法可以自己预测,也可以将决定推迟到下游专家作出,这样可以帮助实现这一目标。这种设置的一个基本方面是需要学习补充预测器,这些预测器可以改善人类的弱点,而不是学习为平均错误优化的预测器。在这项工作中,我们对专家推迟学习补充预测器的好处进行了第一次理论分析。为了能够有效地学习这些预测器,我们认为有一种一贯的代位损失功能,供专家推迟和分析其理论特性。最后,我们设计了积极学习计划,需要最低限度的人类专家预测数据,以便学习准确的推迟系统。