Oil companies are among the largest companies in the world whose economic indicators in the global stock market have a great impact on the world economy and market due to their relation to gold, crude oil, and the dollar. To quantify these relationships, we use correlation features and relationships between stocks with the dollar, crude oil, gold, and stock indices of major oil companies, create data sets, and perform continuous and discrete correlation analyses with each other. To predict the stocks of different companies, we use Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and LSTM, because these stocks change in time series. We carry out empirical experiments and perform on the stock indices dataset to evaluate the prediction performance in terms of several common error metrics such as Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The received results are promising and present a reasonably accurate prediction for the price of oil companies' stocks in the near future. Despite the volatility of the investigated systems in continuous and discrete correlation analysis, LSTM has a high interpretability ability to investigate surprising.
翻译:石油公司是世界上最大的公司,其经济指标在全球股票市场上对世界经济和市场有重大影响,因为它们与黄金、原油和美元的关系。为了量化这些关系,我们使用主要石油公司股票与美元、原油、黄金和股票指数之间的相互关系特点和关系,建立数据集,并进行连续和独立的相互关系分析。为了预测不同公司的股票,我们使用经常性神经网络和LSTM,因为这些股票在时间序列上发生变化。我们进行了实验,并用股票指数数据集来评估若干常见差错指标的预测业绩,例如平方错误、极极差错误、极中方错误和中度绝对百分率错误。收到的结果很有希望,对石油公司股票价格的近期价格作了相当准确的预测。尽管调查的系统在连续和离心关联分析中变化不定,LSTM具有很高的可解释性来调查的惊人能力。