Deep learning-based weather prediction models have advanced significantly in recent years. However, data-driven models based on deep learning are difficult to apply to real-world applications because they are vulnerable to spatial-temporal shifts. A weather prediction task is especially susceptible to spatial-temporal shifts when the model is overfitted to locality and seasonality. In this paper, we propose a training strategy to make the weather prediction model robust to spatial-temporal shifts. We first analyze the effect of hyperparameters and augmentations of the existing training strategy on the spatial-temporal shift robustness of the model. Next, we propose an optimal combination of hyperparameters and augmentation based on the analysis results and a test-time augmentation. We performed all experiments on the W4C22 Transfer dataset and achieved the 1st performance.
翻译:近年来,基于深层学习的天气预测模型取得了显著进展,然而,基于深层学习的数据驱动模型很难适用于现实世界应用,因为它们容易受到空间时空变化的影响。当模型过于适合地点和季节性时,天气预测任务特别容易受到空间时空变化的影响。在本文件中,我们提出了一个培训战略,使天气预测模型对空间时空变化具有活力。我们首先分析超参数的影响和现有培训战略的扩大对模型空间时空转移的稳健性的影响。接下来,我们提议根据分析结果和测试时增强,将超参数和增量的最佳组合结合起来。我们在W4C22传输数据集方面进行了所有实验,并取得了第1项业绩。