Bayesian models of group learning are studied in Economics since the 1970s and more recently in computational linguistics. The models from Economics postulate that agents maximize utility in their communication and actions. The Economics models do not explain the "probability matching" phenomena that are observed in many experimental studies. To address these observations, Bayesian models that do not formally fit into the economic utility maximization framework were introduced. In these models individuals sample from their posteriors in communication. In this work, we study the asymptotic behavior of such models on connected networks with repeated communication. Perhaps surprisingly, despite the fact that individual agents are not utility maximizers in the classical sense, we establish that the individuals ultimately agree and furthermore show that the limiting posterior is Bayes optimal.
翻译:20世纪70年代以来,在经济学中研究了贝叶斯人群体学习模式,最近又在计算语言学中研究了这些模式。经济学的模型假设,代理商在通信和行动方面最大限度地发挥效用。经济学模型没有解释许多实验研究中观察到的“概率匹配”现象。为了解决这些观察,引入了不正式适合经济效用最大化框架的贝叶斯人模式。在这些模型中,个人从通信中的后辈样本。在这项工作中,我们研究了这些模型在与反复通信连接的网络上的无药用行为。也许令人惊讶的是,尽管个体代理商不是传统意义上的“效用最大化”,但我们确定,个人最终同意,并进一步表明限制后辈是最佳的。