We study actual bidding behavior when a new auction format gets introduced into the marketplace. More specifically, we investigate this question using a novel dataset on internet display advertising auctions that exploits a staggered adoption by different publishers (sellers) of first-price auctions (FPAs), instead of the traditional second-price auctions (SPAs). Event study regression estimates indicate that, immediately after the auction format change, the revenue per sold impression (price) jumped considerably for the treated publishers relative to the control publishers, ranging from 35% to 75% of the pre-treatment price level of the treatment group. Further, we observe that in later auction format changes the increase in the price levels under FPAs relative to price levels under SPAs dissipates over time, reminiscent of the celebrated revenue equivalence theorem. We take this as evidence of initially insufficient bid shading after the format change rather than an immediate shift to a new Bayesian Nash equilibrium. Prices then went down as bidders learned to shade their bids. We also show that bidders' sophistication impacted their response to the auction format change. Our work constitutes one of the first field studies on bidders' responses to auction format changes, providing an important complement to theoretical model predictions. As such, it provides valuable information to auction designers when considering the implementation of different formats.
翻译:更具体地说,我们使用互联网上的新数据集来展示广告拍卖,利用不同出版商(卖方)错开采用第一次价格拍卖(FPAs),而不是传统的第二次价格拍卖(SPAs),而不是传统的第二次价格拍卖(SPAs),研究实际投标行为。 活动研究回归估计表明,在拍卖形式改变之后,被处理的出版商相对于控制出版商而言,每张被售价(价格)的收入在大幅上升,从占处理组预处理价格水平的35%到75%不等。此外,我们观察到,在以后的拍卖形式中,不同出版商(卖主)采用第一次价格拍卖(FPAs)的价格水平的上升随着时间的推移而有所变化,使人想起人们所庆祝的收入等值。我们将此视为最初在拍卖形式改变之后,而不是立即转向新的巴伊西亚纳什均衡。随后价格下降,因为投标人学会了淡化其投标价格水平。我们还发现,投标人对拍卖模式变化的反应更为精确。我们观察到,在以后,根据价格模式的变化,我们的工作构成了一种重要的实地研究,在提供有价值的拍卖格式时,对拍卖进行不同的评估。