Reasoning about human motion is an important prerequisite to safe and socially-aware robotic navigation. As a result, multi-agent behavior prediction has become a core component of modern human-robot interactive systems, such as self-driving cars. While there exist many methods for trajectory forecasting, most do not enforce dynamic constraints and do not account for environmental information (e.g., maps). Towards this end, we present Trajectron++, a modular, graph-structured recurrent model that forecasts the trajectories of a general number of diverse agents while incorporating agent dynamics and heterogeneous data (e.g., semantic maps). Trajectron++ is designed to be tightly integrated with robotic planning and control frameworks; for example, it can produce predictions that are optionally conditioned on ego-agent motion plans. We demonstrate its performance on several challenging real-world trajectory forecasting datasets, outperforming a wide array of state-of-the-art deterministic and generative methods.
翻译:人类运动是安全和具有社会意识的机器人导航的重要先决条件。因此,多试剂行为预测已成为现代人类机器人互动系统的核心组成部分,如自驾汽车。虽然存在许多轨迹预测方法,但大多数不执行动态限制,不考虑环境信息(如地图)。为此,我们介绍Trajectron+,一个模块化、图形结构化的经常性模型,该模型在预测一般多种物剂的轨迹的同时,将物剂动态和多种数据(如语义地图)纳入其中。Trajectron+的设计与机器人规划和控制框架紧密结合;例如,它可以产生可选以自驾运动计划为条件的预测。我们展示它在若干挑战性真实世界的轨迹预测数据集上的性能,优于一系列最先进的确定性和基因化方法。