Clustering is frequently used in the energy domain to identify dominant electricity consumption patterns of households, which can be used to construct customer archetypes for long term energy planning. Selecting a useful set of clusters however requires extensive experimentation and domain knowledge. While internal clustering validation measures are well established in the electricity domain, they are limited for selecting useful clusters. Based on an application case study in South Africa, we present an approach for formalising implicit expert knowledge as external evaluation measures to create customer archetypes that capture variability in residential electricity consumption behaviour. By combining internal and external validation measures in a structured manner, we were able to evaluate clustering structures based on the utility they present for our application. We validate the selected clusters in a use case where we successfully reconstruct customer archetypes previously developed by experts. Our approach shows promise for transparent and repeatable cluster ranking and selection by data scientists, even if they have limited domain knowledge.
翻译:在能源领域经常使用集群,以确定家庭的主要电力消费模式,这可用于为长期能源规划构建客户古型。然而,选择一套有用的集群,需要广泛的实验和领域知识。虽然内部集群验证措施在电力领域已经确立,但用于选择有用集群的措施有限。根据南非的应用案例研究,我们提出了一个方法,将隐含的专家知识正规化为外部评估措施,以创建反映住宅电力消费行为变化的客户古型。通过以结构化方式结合内部和外部验证措施,我们得以根据它们为我们应用程序提供的效用,对集群结构进行评估。我们验证了选定的集群,用于我们成功地重建以前由专家开发的客户古型。我们的方法表明,即使数据科学家的域知识有限,也有望进行透明和可重复的集群排序和选择。