Frequency domain methods form a ubiquitous part of the statistical toolbox for time series analysis. In recent years, considerable interest has been given to the development of new spectral methodology and tools capturing dynamics in the entire joint distributions and thus avoiding the limitations of classical, $L^2$-based spectral methods. Most of the spectral concepts proposed in that literature suffer from one major drawback, though: their estimation requires the choice of a smoothing parameter, which has a considerable impact on estimation quality and poses challenges for statistical inference. In this paper, associated with the concept of copula-based spectrum, we introduce the notion of copula spectral distribution function or integrated copula spectrum. This integrated copula spectrum retains the advantages of copula-based spectra but can be estimated without the need for smoothing parameters. We provide such estimators, along with a thorough theoretical analysis, based on a functional central limit theorem, of their asymptotic properties. We leverage these results to test various hypotheses that cannot be addressed by classical spectral methods, such as the lack of time-reversibility or asymmetry in tail dynamics.
翻译:频率域方法构成时间序列分析统计工具箱的无处不在的部分。 近年来,人们相当关注开发新的光谱方法和工具,捕捉整个联合分布中的动态,从而避免古典的、以L ⁇ 2美元为基础的光谱方法的局限性。文献中提议的光谱概念大多存在一个重大缺陷:虽然它们的估算要求选择一个光滑参数,这对估计质量有相当大的影响,并给统计推断带来挑战。在本文中,我们结合基于阴极的频谱概念,引入了合光谱分布功能或集成相光谱的概念。这种集成的焦光谱谱谱保留了基于comula的光谱的优点,但可以在不需要光滑的参数的情况下加以估计。我们根据功能中心参数的定点提供了这种估计,同时进行彻底的理论分析。我们利用这些结果来测试古典光谱方法无法解决的各种假设,例如缺乏时间可逆性或尾部的不对称性。