In this manuscript we present several possible ways of modeling human capital accumulation during the spread of a disease following an agent based approach, where agents behave maximizing their intertemporal utility. We assume that the interaction between agents is of mean field type, yielding a Mean Field Game description of the problem. We discuss how the analysis of a model including both the mechanism of change of species from one epidemiological state to the other and an optimization problem for each agent leads to an aggregate behavior that is not easy to describe, and that sometimes exhibits structural problems. Therefore we eventually propose and study numerically a SEIRD model in which the rate of infection depends on the distribution of the population, given exogenously as the solution to the the Mean Field Game system arising as the macroscopic description of the discrete multi-agent economic model for the accumulation of human capital. Such model arises in fact as a simplified but tractable version of the initial one.
翻译:在这份手稿中,我们提出了几种在疾病传播期间,按照一种基于代理物的方法来模拟人力资本积累的几种可能的模型方法,即代理物的行为是最大限度地扩大其时间间的实用性。我们假定代理物之间的互动是平均的字段类型,产生一个对问题的“平均场外游戏”描述。我们讨论了对模型的分析,包括物种从一种流行病状态变化的机制和每种代理物的优化问题,如何导致一种不易描述的、有时也存在结构性问题的综合行为。因此,我们最终提出并研究了一种SEID模式,在其中,感染率取决于人口的分布,从外源角度看,这是对人类资本积累的离散多剂经济模式的宏观描述所产生的“平均场游戏”系统的解决办法。这种模式实际上是一个简化但可移植的初始模式。