Non-proportional hazards (NPH) have been observed recently in many immuno-oncology clinical trials. Weighted log-rank tests (WLRT) with suitably chosen weights can be used to improve the power of detecting the difference of the two survival curves in the presence of NPH. However, it is not easy to choose a proper WLRT in practice when both robustness and efficiency are considered. A versatile maxcombo test was proposed to achieve the balance of robustness and efficiency and has received increasing attentions in both methodology development and application. However, survival trials often warrant interim analyses due to its high cost and long duration. The integration and application of maxcombo tests in interim analyses often require extensive simulation studies. In this paper, we propose a simulation-free approach for group sequential design with maxcombo test in survival trials. The simulation results support that the proposed approaches successfully control both the type I error rate and offer great accuracy and flexibility in estimating sample sizes, at the expense of light computation burden. Notably, our methods display a strong robustness towards various model misspecifications, and have been implemented in an R package for free access online.
翻译:最近在许多免疫-肿瘤临床试验中观察到了非高度危险(NPH),在很多免疫-肿瘤临床试验中,可以使用适当选择重量的加权测算试验(WLRT)来提高在NPH在场的情况下检测两个生存曲线差异的能力。然而,在考虑稳健性和效率时,在实践中选择适当的WLRT并非易事。建议采用多用途最大孔布试验,以实现稳健性和效率的平衡,并在方法的开发和应用方面日益受到注意。然而,生存试验由于成本高、时间长,往往需要进行临时分析。在临时分析中整合和应用最大孔博试验往往需要广泛的模拟研究。在本文件中,我们提议在生存试验中采用无模拟方法,在最大孔博试验中采用无模拟的分组顺序设计。模拟结果表明,拟议的方法成功地控制了I类误差率,在估计样本大小时提供了很高的准确性和灵活性,而忽略了轻量计算的负担。值得注意的是,我们的方法在各种模型的误差方面表现出很强的稳健性,并且已经在R包中免费上网。