Transforming a causal system from a given initial state to a desired target state is an important task permeating multiple fields including control theory, biology, and materials science. In causal models, such transformations can be achieved by performing a set of interventions. In this paper, we consider the problem of identifying a shift intervention that matches the desired mean of a system through active learning. We define the Markov equivalence class that is identifiable from shift interventions and propose two active learning strategies that are guaranteed to exactly match a desired mean. We then derive a worst-case lower bound for the number of interventions required and show that these strategies are optimal for certain classes of graphs. In particular, we show that our strategies may require exponentially fewer interventions than the previously considered approaches, which optimize for structure learning in the underlying causal graph. In line with our theoretical results, we also demonstrate experimentally that our proposed active learning strategies require fewer interventions compared to several baselines.
翻译:将因果系统从特定初始状态转变为理想目标状态是一项重要任务,渗透多个领域,包括控制理论、生物学和材料科学。在因果模型中,这种转变可以通过一系列干预措施实现。在本文件中,我们考虑了通过积极学习确定与系统理想值相匹配的转变干预措施的问题。我们定义了从轮班干预措施中可识别的Markov等值类,并提出了两种积极学习战略,保证与理想值完全吻合。然后,我们得出了最坏的情况,降低了所需干预措施的界限,并表明这些战略对于某些类型的图表来说是最佳的。特别是,我们表明我们的战略可能需要比以前考虑的方法少得多的干预措施,而以前考虑的方法最优化的是基本因果图的结构学习。根据我们的理论结果,我们还实验性地表明,我们拟议的积极学习战略需要的干预措施比几个基线要少。