Aiming for accurate estimation of system reliability of load-sharing systems, a flexible model for such systems is constructed by approximating the cumulative hazard functions of component lifetimes using piecewise linear functions. The advantages of the resulting model are that it is data-driven and it does not use prohibitive assumptions on the underlying component lifetimes. Due to its flexible nature, the model is capable of providing a good fit to data obtained from load-sharing systems in general, thus resulting in an accurate estimation of important reliability characteristics. Estimates of reliability at a mission time, quantile function, mean time to failure, and mean residual time for load-sharing systems are developed under the proposed model involving piecewise linear functions. Maximum likelihood estimation and construction of confidence intervals for the proposed model are discussed in detail. The performance of the proposed model is observed to be quite satisfactory through a detailed Monte Carlo simulation study. Analysis of a load-sharing data pertaining to the lives of a two-motor load-sharing system is provided as an illustrative example. In summary, this article presents a comprehensive discussion on a flexible model that can be used for load-sharing systems under minimal assumptions.
翻译:为了准确估计负担分担系统的系统可靠性,为这种系统设计了一个灵活的模型,方法是使用片面线性功能,接近各组成部分寿命期的累积危害功能;由此而形成的模型的优点是,它是数据驱动的,对基本组成部分寿命期不采用令人望而却步的假设;由于其灵活性,该模型能够很好地适应从一般负担分担系统获得的数据,从而精确地估计重要的可靠性特征;根据涉及片面线性功能的拟议模型,对飞行任务时间的可靠性、量化功能、故障到故障的平均时间以及负担分担系统的平均剩余时间进行了估计;详细讨论了拟议模型的最大可能性估计和建立信任间隔;认为,通过详细的蒙特卡洛模拟研究,拟议模型的性能相当令人满意;对与两机载分担系统寿命有关的负担分担数据进行了分析,作为示例;概括而言,本文章全面讨论了可在最低假设下用于负担分担系统的灵活模式。