Scale-mixture shrinkage priors have recently been shown to possess robust empirical performance and excellent theoretical properties such as model selection consistency and (near) minimax posterior contraction rates. In this paper, the normal-compound gamma prior (NCG) resulting from compounding on the respective inverse-scale parameters with gamma distribution is used as a prior for the scale parameter. Attractiveness of this model becomes apparent due to its relationship to various useful models. The tuning of the hyperparameters gives the same shrinkage properties exhibited by some other models. Using different sets of conditions, the posterior is shown to be both strongly consistent and have nearly-optimal contraction rates depending on the set of assumptions. Furthermore, the Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) and Variational Bayes algorithms are derived, then a method is proposed for updating the hyperparameters and is incorporated into the MCMC and Variational Bayes algorithms. Finally, empirical evidence of the attractiveness of this model is demonstrated using both real and simulated data, to compare the predicted results with previous models.
翻译:缩放混合缩进前期最近显示具有强大的实证性能和极好的理论特性,如模型选择一致性和(近)微麦克斯后部收缩率。在本文中,由于对伽马分布的各自反尺度参数的复合而导致的正常对称前伽马先变(NCG)作为比例参数的先期使用。这一模型的吸引力因其与各种有用的模型的关系而变得明显。对超参数的调整提供了其他一些模型所显示的相同的缩进特性。使用不同的成套条件,后台显示其高度一致,并且根据一套假设具有近于最佳的收缩率。此外,还得出了蒙特卡洛·马尔科夫链(Monte Carlo Markov Clack)和挥发性海湾算法,然后提出更新超光度计的方法,并纳入MCMC和挥发性海湾算法。最后,利用真实和模拟数据来证明这一模型的吸引力的实证证据,将预测结果与以前的模型进行比较。