We provide a comprehensive study of a nonparametric likelihood ratio test on whether a random sample follows a distribution in a prespecified class of shape-constrained densities. While the conventional definition of likelihood ratio is not well-defined for general nonparametric problems, we consider a working sub-class of alternative densities that leads to test statistics with desirable properties. Under the null, a scaled and centered version of the test statistic is asymptotic normal and distribution-free, which comes from the fact that the asymptotic dominant term under the null depends only on a function of spacings of transformed outcomes that are uniform distributed. The nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) under the hypothesis class appears only in an average log-density ratio which often converges to zero at a faster rate than the asymptotic normal term under the null, while diverges in general test so that the test is consistent. The main technicality is to show these results for log-density ratio which requires a case-by-case analysis, including new results for k-monotone densities with unbounded support and completely monotone densities that are of independent interest. A bootstrap method by simulating from the NPMLE is shown to have the same limiting distribution as the test statistic.
翻译:我们全面研究非参数概率率测试,以确定随机抽样是否遵循了特定形状受限制密度类别中的分布。虽然常规的可能性比率定义对于一般非参数问题没有明确界定,但我们考虑的是替代密度的工作小类,以测试具有理想属性的统计数据。在无效下,一个缩放和集中的测试统计数据版本是无症状的正常和无分布的,主要的技术性在于,无效下的无症状主要术语仅取决于不同分布的变异结果间距的函数。假设类中的非参数最大概率估计值(NPMLE)仅出现在平均日志密度比率中,通常以比无效的正常值快的速度接近于零,而在一般测试中则有差异,因此测试是一致的。主要的技术性在于显示对日志密度比率的这些结果,这需要逐个案例进行分析,包括Kmonoone密度变化结果的新结果,而无限制的最大概率估计值(NPMLE)仅出现在一个平均日志密度比率中,通常比无效的正常的正常值值值值一致,而一般测试的版本则不同,因此检验结果一致。