范式转换期产业技术-制度协同演化机制与政策研究

项目名称： 范式转换期产业技术-制度协同演化机制与政策研究

项目编号： No.71203211

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 宏观管理与政策

项目作者： 眭纪刚

作者单位： 中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所

项目金额： 19万元

中文摘要： 能否正确认识范式转换期产业创新活动的特征，以及技术与制度的演化规律，直接影响产业未来的发展模式。本研究借鉴创新理论、制度变迁理论和产业组织理论的思想，构建以协同演化为主要理论基础的分析框架，采用理论研究、定量研究和案例研究等方法，重点研究经济范式转换期新兴产业技术与制度协同演化的机制、过程与特征，及其对传统产业和经济范式的冲击，揭示新老产业交替过程中技术与制度的协同演化规律，并选取国内外若干产业的数据和案例验证有关命题，最后给出我国产业结构调整期创新政策的新思路。本研究的创新之处在于突破传统演化理论的单向因果关系分析框架，考察范式转换这一非线性变化背景下，技术与制度演化的双向因果关系，对产业技术和制度变革做"实时"的实证研究。本研究对于发展和深化协同演化理论体系，识别技术与制度变革之间的深层动态关系，描述范式转换期产业的演化规律，加快我国产业结构调整，科学制定产业创新政策有理论和现实意义

中文关键词： 范式转换；协同演化；技术创新；制度创新；创新政策

英文摘要： It will affect the future development pattern of industry directly that correctly distinguishing the features of innovation and the evolution rules of technology and institution during paradigm shifting. This project will build an analysis framework based on co-evolution theory that draw idea from innovation theory, institution change theory and industry organization theory, with the methodology of theoretical, quantitative and case study, to study on the co-evolution mechanism, process and features of technology and institution of emerging industry during paradigm shifting, and its shock on the traditional industry and paradigm, and explore the co-evolution rules of technology and institution during the change process of new industry and old one, and prove some proposition through data analysis and case study from some industry, finally give new thought about China's innovation policy during industry structure changing. This project will break the framework of unidirectional causal of the traditional evolution theory, and analyze the bidirectional causal between technology and institution, and do real-time empirical research on industry technology and institution change during paradigm shifting. This project has theoretical and practical significance for developing co-evolution theory, distinguishing the dynam

英文关键词： paradigm shifting；co-evolution；technology innovation；institution innovation；innovation policy