城轨交通网络能力与客流匹配性及控制策略研究

项目名称： 城轨交通网络能力与客流匹配性及控制策略研究

项目编号： No.51478036

项目类型： 面上项目

立项/批准年度： 2015

项目学科： 建筑科学

项目作者： 赵鹏

作者单位： 北京交通大学

项目金额： 80万元

中文摘要： 城市轨道交通的网络化运营带来了新的问题，表现在客流特征的复杂性、客流需求与网络运输能力匹配的困难性、客流控制策略影响的网络性。针对这些问题，本项目首先精细化构建乘客出行径路选择模型，准确描述客流网络分布；再次基于元胞自动机和多智能体建模方法，将车站微观仿真和网络宏观仿真结合，利用基础设施能力数据、AFC客流数据和列车运行数据，对网络运输能力与客流匹配性进行综合分析；最后基于数学优化及反馈控制方法，建立车站-线路-网络多层次控制模型，从乘客流-列车流两个角度进行协同控制，对网络运输能力与客流需求在时间、空间上进行协调匹配，研究不同组合客流控制策略的效果。通过项目的研究，揭示客流的分布机理，提出客流与能力匹配的评估方法以及客流控制策略的优化方法，丰富城市轨道交通网络化运营的理论基础，从而为提高运营服务水平提供技术支撑。

中文关键词： 城市轨道交通网络；客流-能力匹配；动态评估；协同控制；综合仿真

英文摘要： The network operation of urban rail transit brings new problems, for example, the passenger flow characteristics become complexity; the matching of passenger demand and network transport capacity becomes difficult; the influence of passenger control becomes larger. To solve these problems, this project will first set up passenger route choice model in detail and describe the passenger network distribution accurately; Then through acquiring infrastructure capacity data, AFC data and train operation data, based on cellular automata and multi-agent modeling method, combining the station microscopic simulation and network macroscopic simulation, the matching of transport capacity and passenger demand will be integrated simulation and evaluation; Finally, based on mathematical optimization and feedback control method, the station-line-network multi-level control model will be established, the collaborative control will be carried out from two aspects of passenger flow and train flow, transport capacity and passenger demand will be coordinated and matched in time and space, the effectiveness of the different combined control strategies will be verified. The study of this project will reveal the mechanism of passenger flow distribution, put forward the evaluation method of passenger flow and capacity matching and optimization method of passenger flow control strategy, thereby enrich the theoretical basis of urban rail transit network operation, and provide technical support to improve the level of service.

英文关键词： urban rail transit network;passenger flow-transport capacity matching;dynamic evaluation;comprehensive control;integrative simulation