我国东部沿海地区农业污染与经济增长作用机理及调控研究

项目名称： 我国东部沿海地区农业污染与经济增长作用机理及调控研究

项目编号： No.41301642

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2014

项目学科： 天文学、地球科学

项目作者： 李飞

作者单位： 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

项目金额： 23万元

中文摘要： 以农业污染与经济增长作用关系为研究对象，以我国经济增长迅速、农业污染严重的东部沿海地区为研究区域，综合运用地理学、环境学与环境经济学及系统科学等原理，基于实地调研与遥感调查、计量与统计分析和系统动力学模拟等技术和方法，系统研究近30年经济增长与农业污染时空作用过程及综合效应评估；揭示农业污染对经济增长作用的传导路径和影响机制，探索农业环境-经济系统耦合机理；模拟未来20年我国东部沿海地区农业环境-经济社会复杂巨系统演变趋势，提出农业环境-经济协调发展模式和调控路径。该研究将丰富我国主要人类活动-经济增长与环境变化交互作用和调控研究视角和定量化方法，促进人地关系地域系统研究和学科交叉创新，为经济发展方式转变、农业污染综合防治及东部沿海地区可持续发展提供科学依据。

中文关键词： 东部沿海地区；农业污染；经济增长；耦合机制；

英文摘要： This study takes the relationship between agricultural pollution and economic growth as research object, and eastern coastal area of China as research district. Based on geographic science, environmental science, environmental economics and other theories, through spot investigation, field observation, remote sensing survey, statistical and quantitative analysis, system dynamics simulation and other methods, this study analyzes interaction mechanism between agricultural pollution and economic growth in recent thirty years, assesses comprehensive effect systematically, explores agricultural environmental economic coupling mechanism, and simulates the trend of regional agricultural environmental-socio-economic giant complex system in eastern coastal area of China in the future twenty years. Then, the study proposes some coordination modes on realizing agricultural environmental-economic coordinated development. This study would strengthen research perspective and method of interaction relationship between major human activities-economic growth and environmental change and its regulation, promote man-earth areal system study, and provide scientific theoretical basis for transformation of economic development mode, comprehensive agricultural pollution control and sustainable development of eastern coastal area of Ch

英文关键词： Eastern Coastal Area of China；Agricultural Pollution；Economic Growth；Coupling Mechanism；