新形势下我国粮食宏观调控的机制设计与政策选择

项目名称： 新形势下我国粮食宏观调控的机制设计与政策选择

项目编号： No.71203207

项目类型： 青年科学基金项目

立项/批准年度： 2013

项目学科： 宏观管理与政策

项目作者： 陈诗波

作者单位： 中国科学技术发展战略研究院

项目金额： 18万元

中文摘要： 本研究是在世界政治局势波动、自然灾害频发导致粮食安全出现危机，我国工业化、城镇化加快发展带来粮食供求变化，粮食宏观调控取得一定成效但出现过度调控效应的背景下开展的。研究大致可分成两个阶段。第一个阶段以对我国粮食宏观调控系统基本架构的研究入手，通过对系统中主客体间存在的利益冲突进行博弈分析，对系统的效果和效率进行综合评价来反映粮食宏观调控系统的现状和存在问题，然后对影响因素进行分析，为系统设计和机制创新奠定基础。第二个阶段是机制设计部分。首先对新形势下我国粮食市场的供需前景和结构变化进行研究，并结合农户、企业调研分析结构变化带来的政策需求，继而对我国粮食宏观调控进行系统设计和机制创新研究，最后提出保障系统机制顺利运行的制度框架要求和政策选择。

中文关键词： 粮食安全；宏观调控；评价；机制设计；政策选择

英文摘要： The study is conducted on the background of world political situation fluctuation and food security crisis which frequent occurrence of natural disaster results in. With the rapid development of Industrialization and urbanization of China, food supply-demand has been changed. Food macro-adjusting gained some effects but with excessive regulation. In this context, the study is divided into two stages: the first stage started with analyzing food macro-adjusting system basic structure and subject -object interest conflict with game theory. This aimed to show the present situation and problem of food macro-adjusting system, and then to analyze the influential factors, that lays a foundation for system design and mechanism innovation. The second stage is mechanism design. Firstly this part studys food market supply-demand prospects and structure change, and policy adjustment which the latter leads to, according to farmer and enterprise investigation. Secondly this part makes a study on food macro-adjusting system design and mechanism innovation. Finally this part puts forward system frame requirements and policy choice, which ensure that system mechanism runs smoothly.

英文关键词： food safety；macro-control；evaluation；mechanism design；policy choice