Data-driven method to learn the most probable transition pathway and stochastic differential equations

Transition phenomena between metastable states play an important role in complex systems due to noisy fluctuations. In this paper, the physics informed neural networks (PINNs) are presented to compute the most probable transition pathway. It is shown that the expected loss is bounded by the empirical loss. And the convergence result for the empirical loss is obtained. Then, a sampling method of rare events is presented to simulate the transition path by the Markovian bridge process. And we investigate the inverse problem to extract the stochastic differential equation from the most probable transition pathway data and the Markovian bridge process data, respectively. Finally, several numerical experiments are presented to verify the effectiveness of our methods.