Correlated outcomes are common in many practical problems. In some settings, one outcome is of particular interest and others are auxiliary. To leverage information shared by all the outcomes, traditional multi-task learning (MTL) minimizes an averaged loss function over all the outcomes, which may lead to biased estimation, especially when the MTL model is mis-specified. In this work, based on a decomposition of estimation bias into two types, within-subspace and against-subspace, we develop a robust transfer learning approach to estimating a high-dimensional linear decision rule for the outcome of interest with the presence of auxiliary outcomes. The proposed method includes a MTL step using all outcomes to gain efficiency, and a subsequent calibration step using only the outcome of interest to correct both types of biases. We show that the final estimator can achieve a lower estimation error than the one using only the single outcome of interest. Simulations and a real data analysis are conducted to justify the superiority of the proposed method.
翻译:在许多实际问题中,与相关结果是常见的。在有些情况下,一个结果特别有意义,而另一些结果则是辅助性的。为了利用所有结果共享的信息,传统的多任务学习(MTL)将所有结果的平均损失功能最小化,这可能导致有偏差的估计,特别是当MTL模型被错误地指定时。在这项工作中,基于将估计偏差分解成两种类型,即子空间和对子空间,我们开发了一种强有力的转移学习方法,以估计具有辅助结果的利息结果的高维线性线性决定规则。拟议方法包括一个利用所有结果提高效率的MTL步骤,以及随后的校准步骤,仅利用利益结果纠正两种类型的偏差。我们表明,最终估计者可以实现比仅使用单一的利息结果的偏差低。进行了模拟和真实的数据分析,以证明拟议方法的优越性。