We propose a parametrization of autoregressive unit roots ARMA models (ARUMA) with partial autocorrelation coefficients to specify the autoregressive and integrated part of the model. We obtain the algebraic properties of the partial autocorrelations in the context of unit roots. The main result is that if a partial autocorrelation sequence contains some values equal to 1 or -1, then it can be split at these values into sub-sequences each of which represents the partial autocorrelations of a factor of the overall polynomial on the left-hand side of the model. A separate paper will discuss the details of the estimation procedure and its properties. An implementation is provided by Boshnakov and Halliday (2022) R package sarima, https://cran.r-project.org/package=sarima (function sarima).
翻译:我们建议对自动递减单位根的ARMA模型(ARIMA)进行配对,配有部分自动回缩系数,以具体说明模型的自动递减和集成部分。我们从单位根中获取部分自动递减的代数特性。主要结果是,如果部分自动序列包含一些等于1或-1的值,那么可以将这些值分成次序列,其中每个序列都代表模型左侧整体多元系数的一个部分自动关系。一份单独文件将讨论估算程序及其属性的细节。Boshnakov和Halliday (2022年)提供了实施情况,R包Sarima, https://cran.r-project.org/package=salima(功能 sarima))。