This paper discusses serious drawbacks of existing knowledge in macroeconomics and finance in explaining and predicting economic and financial phenomena. Complexity science is proposed as an alternative approach to be used in order to better understand how economy and financial market work. This paper argues that understanding characteristics of complex system could greatly benefit financial analysts, financial regulators, as well as macroeconomic policy makers.
翻译:本文讨论了宏观经济和金融方面的现有知识在解释和预测经济和金融现象方面的严重缺陷,建议采用复杂科学作为替代方法,以更好地了解经济和金融市场如何运作,认为了解复杂系统的特点可以极大地有利于金融分析家、金融监管者以及宏观经济决策者。