Deep learning based forecasting methods have become the methods of choice in many applications of time series prediction or forecasting often outperforming other approaches. Consequently, over the last years, these methods are now ubiquitous in large-scale industrial forecasting applications and have consistently ranked among the best entries in forecasting competitions (e.g., M4 and M5). This practical success has further increased the academic interest to understand and improve deep forecasting methods. In this article we provide an introduction and overview of the field: We present important building blocks for deep forecasting in some depth; using these building blocks, we then survey the breadth of the recent deep forecasting literature.
翻译:在许多时间序列预测或预测应用中,基于深层学习的预测方法已成为选择方法,往往优于其他方法,因此,过去几年来,这些方法在大规模工业预测应用中已无处不在,在预测竞争(如M4和M5)中一贯列为最佳条目。 这一实际成功进一步提高了学术界对了解和改进深层预测方法的兴趣。在本篇文章中,我们介绍并概述了该领域:我们为深度的深度预测提供了重要的构件;利用这些构件,我们然后调查最近的深层预测文献的广度。