The nexus between transportation, the power grid, and consumer behavior is more pronounced than ever before as the race to decarbonize the transportation sector intensifies. Electrification in the transportation sector has led to technology shifts and rapid deployment of electric vehicles (EVs). The potential increase in stochastic and spatially heterogeneous charging load presents a unique challenge that is not well studied, and will have significant impacts on grid operations, emissions, and system reliability if not managed effectively. Realistic scenario generators can help operators prepare, and machine learning can be leveraged to this end. In this work, we develop generative adversarial networks (GANs) to learn distributions of electric vehicle (EV) charging sessions and disentangled representations. We show that this model structure successfully parameterizes unlabeled temporal and power patterns without supervision and is able to generate synthetic data conditioned on these parameters. We benchmark the generation capability of this model with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), and empirically show that our proposed model framework is better at capturing charging distributions and temporal dynamics.
翻译:运输、电网和消费者行为之间的关系比以往更加明显,因为运输部门脱碳的竞赛日益激烈。运输部门的电气化导致电动车辆的技术转移和迅速部署。电动车辆(EVs)的电气化已经导致技术转移和迅速部署。蒸发式和空间多样性充电负荷的潜在增加是一个独特的挑战,对此没有进行认真研究,如果不加以有效管理,将对电网的运行、排放和系统可靠性产生重大影响。现实情景生成器可以帮助操作员做好准备,机器学习也可以为此进行。在这项工作中,我们开发了基因对抗网络(GANs)来学习电动车辆充电路段的分布和分解。我们显示,这一模型结构在没有监督的情况下成功地对无标签的时间和电力模式进行了参数参数化参数化参数化,并能够生成以这些参数为条件的合成数据。我们用高素混合模型(GMMs)为模型的生成能力设定基准,从经验上表明,我们提议的模型框架在捕捉取充电源分布和时间动态方面比较好。