We propose a novel model-based approach for constructing optimal designs with complex blocking structures and network effects, for application in agricultural field experiments. The potential interference among treatments applied to different plots is described via a network structure, defined via the adjacency matrix. We consider a field trial run at Rothamsted Research and provide a comparison of optimal designs under various different models, including the commonly used designs in such situations. It is shown that when there is interference between treatments on neighbouring plots, due to the spatial arrangement of the plots, designs incorporating network effects are at least as, and often more efficient than, randomised row-column designs. The advantage of network designs is that we can construct the neighbour structure even for an irregular layout by means of a graph to address the particular characteristics of the experiment. The need for such designs arises when it is required to account for treatment-induced patterns of heterogeneity. Ignoring the network structure can lead to imprecise estimates of the treatment parameters and invalid conclusions.
翻译:我们提出一种新的模型方法,用于在农业实地实验中设计具有复杂的屏障结构和网络效应的最佳设计。不同地块的处理方法之间的潜在干扰通过网络结构加以描述,通过相邻矩阵加以界定。我们考虑在Rothamsted Research进行实地试验,并比较不同模型下的最佳设计,包括这类情况下常用的设计。我们发现,在相邻地块的处理方法受到干扰时,由于地块的空间安排,包含网络效应的设计至少与随机的排行柱设计相同,而且往往比随机的排行柱设计更有效。网络设计的优点是,我们可以建造邻居结构,甚至用图表来说明试验的具体特点。当需要考虑到处理引起的异质模式时,就有必要进行这种设计。对网络结构的忽略可能导致对治疗参数的不精确估计和无效的结论。