A difficult task in modeling with Bayesian networks is the elicitation of numerical parameters of Bayesian networks. A large number of parameters is needed to specify a conditional probability table (CPT) that has a larger parent set. In this paper we show that, most CPTs from real applications of Bayesian networks can actually be very well approximated by tables that require substantially less parameters. This observation has practical consequence not only for model elicitation but also for efficient probabilistic reasoning with these networks.
翻译:与Bayesian网络建模的一个困难任务是引出Bayesian网络的数字参数,需要大量参数来指定一个有条件的概率表(CPT),该表的母值较大。在本文中,我们表明,来自Bayesian网络实际应用的大多数CPT实际上可以非常接近于要求大大降低参数的表格。这一观察不仅对模型的生成,而且对这些网络的高效概率推理都有实际影响。