The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of outlying observations in panel data may often lead to biased and inefficient estimates of the model parameters resulting in unreliable inferences when the least squares (LS) method is applied. We propose extensions of the M-estimation approach with a data-driven selection of tuning parameters to achieve desirable level of robustness against outliers without loss of estimation efficiency. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators have also been proved under some mild regularity conditions. The finite sample properties of the existing and proposed robust estimators have been examined through an extensive simulation study and an application to macroeconomic data. Our findings reveal that the proposed methods often exhibits improved estimation and prediction performances in the presence of outliers and are consistent with the traditional LS method when there is no contamination.
翻译:专门小组数据回归模型在不同研究领域日益受到越来越多的注意,包括但不限于计量经济学、环境科学、流行病学、行为学和社会科学;然而,小组数据中存在偏差观测,往往可能导致对模型参数的偏差和低效率估计,导致在采用最小方(LS)方法时得出不可靠的推论;我们提议扩大M-估计方法,以数据驱动方式选择调试参数,以便在不降低估计效率的情况下,实现对外部线的适当稳健度;还证明,在某种轻微的规律条件下,拟议的估计器的一致性和无症状正常度也得到了证明;通过广泛的模拟研究和宏观经济数据应用,审查了现有和拟议的稳健估计器的有限抽样特性;我们的调查结果显示,拟议方法往往显示外部线的存在提高了估计和预测性能,并且在没有污染的情况下与传统的LS方法相一致。