In modelling time series data coming from different sources, frequencies can easily vary since some variable can be measured at higher frequencies, others, at lower frequencies. Given data measured over spatial units and at varying frequencies, we postulated a semiparametric spatiotemporal model. This optimizes utilization of information from variables measured at higher frequency by estimating its nonparametric effect on the response through the backfitting algorithm in and additive modelling framework. Simulation studies support the optimality of the model over simple generalized additive model with aggregation of high frequency predictors to match the dependent variable measured at lower frequency. With quarterly corn production and the dependent variable, the model is fitted with predictors coming from remotely-sensed data (vegetation and precipitation indices), predictive ability is better compared to two benchmark generalized additive models.
翻译:在建模来自不同来源的时间序列数据中,频率很容易变化,因为某些变量可以在较高频率上测量,而另一些则可以在较低频率上测量。鉴于在空间单位和不同频率上测量的数据,我们假设了半参数空间时空模型。这通过调整算法和添加式建模框架来估计其非参数对响应的影响,从而优化利用在较高频率上测量的变量所产生的信息。模拟研究支持模型优于简单通用添加模型的最佳性,并汇集高频预测器,以与在较低频率上测量的依赖变量相匹配。随着季度玉米产量和依赖变量,模型安装了来自遥感数据(植被和降水指数)的预测器,预测能力比两个基准通用添加模型要好。