Time series forecasting has always been a hot spot in scientific research. With the development of artificial intelligence, new time series forecasting methods have obtained better forecasting effects and forecasting performance through bionic research and improvements to the past methods. Visibility Graph (VG) algorithm is often used for time series prediction in previous research, but the prediction effect is not as good as deep learning prediction methods such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) prediction. The VG algorithm contains a wealth of network information, but previous studies did not effectively use the network information to make predictions, resulting in relatively large prediction errors. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes the Deep Visibility Series (DVS) module through the bionic design of VG and the expansion of the past research, which is the first time to combine VG with bionic design and deep network. By applying the bionic design of biological vision to VG, the time series of DVS has obtained superior forecast accuracy, which has made a contribution to time series forecasting. At the same time, this paper applies the DVS forecasting method to the construction cost index forecast, which has practical significance.
翻译:时间序列预测一直是科学研究的一个热点。随着人工智能的发展,新的时间序列预测方法通过生物研究和对以往方法的改进获得了更好的预测效果和预测性能。在以前的研究中,视觉图(VG)算法经常用于时间序列预测,但预测效果不如人工神经网络(ANN)、进化神经网络(CNN)和长期短期内存网络(LSTM)预测等深层学习预测方法好。VG算法包含大量网络信息,但以前的研究没有有效地利用网络信息作出预测,从而导致相对大的预测错误。为了解决这个问题,本文通过VG的生物序列设计和过去研究的扩展提出了深可见系列(DVS)模块,这是首次将VG与生物学设计和深层网络相结合。DVS的时间序列将生物视觉的生物工程设计应用到VG,DVS的时间序列获得了优异的预测准确性预测,从而对时间序列的预测作出了贡献。与此同时,为了解决这个问题,本文通过VGVS预测方法的实用价值,将DVS预测方法应用于DS预测。