Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or "data-consistent inversion"--wherein a solution is a probability density whose pushforward takes a given form. The formulation of such a stochastic inverse problem can be unexpected or confusing to those familiar with traditional Bayesian or otherwise statistical inference. To date, two classes of solutions have been proposed, and these have only been justified through applications of measure theory and its disintegration theorem. In this work we show that, under mild assumptions, the formulation of and solution to all stochastic inverse problems can be more clearly understood using basic probability theory: a stochastic inverse problem is simply a change-of-variables or approximation thereof. For the two existing classes of solutions, we derive the relationship to change(s)-of-variables and illustrate using analytic examples where none had previously existed. Our derivations use neither Bayes' theorem nor the disintegration theorem explicitly. Our final contribution is a careful comparison of changes-of-variables to more traditional statistical inference. While taking stochastic inverse problems at face value for the majority of the paper, our final comparative discussion gives a critique of the framework.
翻译:过去十年来,一系列应用数学论文探索了一种反问题类型,其名称包括“反敏感度”、“推向基于推论的推论”、“一致的贝耶斯推论”或“数据一致的反转”-解决办法是概率密度,其推向是一种特定形式的推移。提出这种随机反问题,对于熟悉传统的巴耶斯人或其他统计推论的人来说,可能是出乎意料或令人困惑的。到目前为止,提出了两类解决办法,这些解决办法只是通过应用计量理论及其解体理论来证明。在这项工作中,我们表明,在轻度假设下,所有反对立问题的拟订和解决办法可以更清楚地理解,使用基本概率理论:反差问题仅仅是一种变异性或近似。对于现有的两种解决办法,我们得出与变异性或变异性关系,并用先前没有的解析性例子来说明这些解决办法的存在。在进行比较时,我们所推算出的传统变异性框架的形成和变异性框架的终局性,对于我们的变异性框架的变化是没有明显的,而我们的变易的变式框架则更精确地反映了我们的变式。