Data driven modeling based approaches have recently gained a lot of attention in many challenging meteorological applications including weather element forecasting. This paper introduces a novel data-driven predictive model based on TransUNet for precipitation nowcasting task. The TransUNet model which combines the Transformer and U-Net models has been previously successfully applied in medical segmentation tasks. Here, TransUNet is used as a core model and is further equipped with Convolutional Block Attention Modules (CBAM) and Depthwise-separable Convolution (DSC). The proposed Attention Augmented TransUNet (AA-TransUNet) model is evaluated on two distinct datasets: the Dutch precipitation map dataset and the French cloud cover dataset. The obtained results show that the proposed model outperforms other examined models on both tested datasets. Furthermore, the uncertainty analysis of the proposed AA-TransUNet is provided to give additional insights on its predictions.
翻译:由数据驱动的模型方法最近在许多具有挑战性的气象应用中引起了许多注意,包括天气要素预报。本文介绍了基于TransUNet的新的数据驱动预测模型,用于现在的降水播送任务。TranUNet模型将变异器和U-Net模型结合起来,以前在医疗分类任务中成功地应用过。在这里,TransUNet作为一个核心模型使用,并且进一步配备了CABAM(CBAM)和DSC(DSC) 。拟议的注意增强的TransUNet(AAA-TransUNet)模型用两种不同的数据集进行评估:荷兰降水地图数据集和法国云层覆盖数据集。获得的结果显示,拟议的模型优于两个测试的数据集中其他经审查的模型。此外,对拟议的AA-TransUNet(A-TransUNet)的不确定性分析是为了对其预测提供更多的见解。