In many scientific and engineering domains, inferring the effect of treatment and exploring its heterogeneity is crucial for optimization and decision making. In addition to Machine Learning based models (e.g. Random Forests or Neural Networks), many meta-algorithms have been developed to estimate the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) function in the binary setting, with the main advantage of not restraining the estimation to a specific supervised learning method. However, this task becomes more challenging when the treatment is not binary. In this paper, we investigate the Rubin Causal Model under the multi-treatment regime and we focus on estimating heterogeneous treatment effects. We generalize \textit{Meta-learning} algorithms to estimate the CATE for each possible treatment value. Using synthetic and semi-synthetic simulation datasets, we assess the quality of each meta-learner in observational data, and we highlight in particular the performances of the X-learner.
翻译:在许多科学和工程领域,推断治疗的效果和探索治疗的异质性对于优化和决策至关重要。除了基于机器学习模型(如随机森林或神经网络)外,还开发了许多元值来估计二进制环境中的有条件平均治疗效果功能,其主要好处是不限制对特定监督学习方法的估计。然而,当治疗不是二进制时,这项任务就更具挑战性。在本文中,我们调查了多种治疗制度下的鲁宾·库萨尔模型,我们侧重于估算多种治疗效果。我们普遍化了计算方法,以估计每一种可能的治疗价值。我们使用合成和半合成模拟数据集,我们评估了观察数据中每个元取物的质量,我们特别强调了X-learner的性能。