In longitudinal panels and other regression models with unobserved effects, fixed effects estimation is often paired with cluster-robust variance estimation (CRVE) in order to account for heteroskedasticity and un-modeled dependence among the errors. CRVE is asymptotically consistent as the number of independent clusters increases, but can be biased downward for sample sizes often found in applied work, leading to hypothesis tests with overly liberal rejection rates. One solution is to use bias-reduced linearization (BRL), which corrects the CRVE so that it is unbiased under a working model, and t-tests with Satterthwaite degrees of freedom. We propose a generalization of BRL that can be applied in models with arbitrary sets of fixed effects, where the original BRL method is undefined, and describe how to apply the method when the regression is estimated after absorbing the fixed effects. We also propose a small-sample test for multiple-parameter hypotheses, which generalizes the Satterthwaite approximation for t-tests. In simulations covering a variety of study designs, we find that conventional cluster-robust Wald tests can severely under-reject while the proposed small-sample test maintains Type I error very close to nominal levels.
翻译:在具有未观测效果的纵向面板和其他回归模型中,固定效应估计往往与集群-紫外差差异估计(CREVE)相配,以说明误差中的偏向性和非模式依赖性。CRVE随着独立组群数量的增加而基本一致,但对于在应用工作中经常发现的样本大小则可能向下偏向,导致过于宽松的拒绝率的假设测试。一个解决办法是使用偏差降线性测试(BRL),它纠正CRVE,使其在工作模型下是不偏不倚的,以及用Satterthwaite自由度进行测试。我们建议对BRL进行一般化,在具有任意固定效果的模型中应用,而原始BRL方法没有定义,并描述在吸收固定效应后估计回归值时如何应用这种方法。我们还提议对多参数假设进行小型抽样测试,将Satterthwaite近似准测试在工作模型下进行不偏向公正的测试。在模拟下,在进行一系列任意的固定效果模型设计时,我们发现常规组群状测试可以严格地进行。