Machine learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) are increasingly used in energy and engineering systems, but these models must be fair, unbiased, and explainable. It is critical to have confidence in AI's trustworthiness. ML techniques have been useful in predicting important parameters and improving model performance. However, for these AI techniques to be useful for making decisions, they need to be audited, accounted for, and easy to understand. Therefore, the use of Explainable AI (XAI) and interpretable machine learning (IML) is crucial for the accurate prediction of prognostics, such as remaining useful life (RUL) in a digital twin system to make it intelligent while ensuring that the AI model is transparent in its decision-making processes and that the predictions it generates can be understood and trusted by users. By using AI that is explainable, interpretable, and trustworthy, intelligent digital twin systems can make more accurate predictions of RUL, leading to better maintenance and repair planning and, ultimately, improved system performance. The objective of this paper is to understand the idea of XAI and IML and justify the important role of ML/AI in the Digital Twin framework and components, which requires XAI to understand the prediction better. This paper explains the importance of XAI and IML in both local and global aspects to ensure the use of trustworthy ML/AI applications for RUL prediction. This paper used the RUL prediction for the XAI and IML studies and leveraged the integrated python toolbox for interpretable machine learning (PiML).
翻译:在能源和工程系统中越来越多地使用机器学习(ML)和人工智能(AI),但这些模型必须是公平、公正和可以解释的,相信AI的可靠性至关重要。ML技术在预测重要参数和改善模型性能方面非常有用。但是,要使这些AI技术对决策有用,就需要审计、核算和容易理解。因此,使用可解释的AI(XAI)和可解释的机器学习(IML)对于准确预测预测,例如数字双生系统中的剩余有用生命(RUL),使其具有智能,同时确保AI模型在其决策过程中具有透明度,并确保用户能够理解和信任它产生的预测。如果使用AI,这些技术可以解释、可解释和可靠、智能的数字双对RUL作出更准确的预测,从而更好地维护和修复IA(XAI)的规划和可解释性机器学习(IML),对于准确预测,例如数字双生系统(RUL)的构想和IML(RL)的实用性生命(RU)至关重要。本文件的目的是了解XL/AI在数字性AI的预测中,这需要更好的当地预测、解释和ML的预测性文件的正确性解释。