We consider particle filters with weakly informative observations (or `potentials') relative to the latent state dynamics. The particular focus of this work is on particle filters to approximate time-discretisations of continuous-time Feynman--Kac path integral models -- a scenario that naturally arises when addressing filtering and smoothing problems in continuous time -- but our findings are indicative about weakly informative settings beyond this context too. We study the performance of different resampling schemes, such as systematic resampling, SSP (Srinivasan sampling process) and stratified resampling, as the time-discretisation becomes finer and also identify their continuous-time limit, which is expressed as a suitably defined `infinitesimal generator.' By contrasting these generators, we find that (certain modifications of) systematic and SSP resampling `dominate' stratified and independent `killing' resampling in terms of their limiting overall resampling rate. The reduced intensity of resampling manifests itself in lower variance in our numerical experiment. This efficiency result, through an ordering of the resampling rate, is new to the literature. The second major contribution of this work concerns the analysis of the limiting behaviour of the entire population of particles of the particle filter as the time discretisation becomes finer. We provide the first proof, under general conditions, that the particle approximation of the discretised continuous-time Feynman--Kac path integral models converges to a (uniformly weighted) continuous-time particle system.
翻译:我们认为,粒子过滤器与潜伏状态动态相比,其信息性观测(或“潜力”)不甚强。这项工作特别侧重于粒子过滤器,以近似时间分解连续Feynman-Kac路径集成模型的时间分解 -- -- 一种在连续时间处理过滤和平滑问题时自然产生的情景 -- -- 但是,我们的调查结果也表明,在此范围以外,信息性设置也较弱。我们研究不同抽采办法的性能,例如系统抽取、SSP(硅采样过程)和分层抽取,随着时间分解变得更精细,还查明其持续时间限制,这表现为适当定义的“不固定生成器”。 通过对比这些生成器,我们发现系统化的(某些修改)和SSP重新抽取“多变现”系统外观和独立“再现”的性能,从限制总体再采样率率的角度,我们第二次的微调实验中显示新的差异程度。这种效率是通过直径直径的直径直径分析的结果,通过一种主要的直径直径直径分析结果成为了整个直径直流的直流分析结果。