Recently, deep learning methods have made great progress in traffic prediction, but their performance depends on a large amount of historical data. In reality, we may face the data scarcity issue. In this case, deep learning models fail to obtain satisfactory performance. Transfer learning is a promising approach to solve the data scarcity issue. However, existing transfer learning approaches in traffic prediction are mainly based on regular grid data, which is not suitable for the inherent graph data in the traffic network. Moreover, existing graph-based models can only capture shared traffic patterns in the road network, and how to learn node-specific patterns is also a challenge. In this paper, we propose a novel transfer learning approach to solve the traffic prediction with few data, which can transfer the knowledge learned from a data-rich source domain to a data-scarce target domain. First, a spatial-temporal graph neural network is proposed, which can capture the node-specific spatial-temporal traffic patterns of different road networks. Then, to improve the robustness of transfer, we design a pattern-based transfer strategy, where we leverage a clustering-based mechanism to distill common spatial-temporal patterns in the source domain, and use these knowledge to further improve the prediction performance of the target domain. Experiments on real-world datasets verify the effectiveness of our approach.
翻译:最近,深层学习方法在交通流量预测方面取得了很大进展,但其性能取决于大量历史数据。在现实中,我们可能面临数据稀缺问题。在这种情况下,深层学习模式无法取得令人满意的业绩。转移学习是解决数据稀缺问题的一个很有希望的方法。然而,现有的交通预测中传输学习方法主要基于常规电网数据,这些数据不适合交通网络固有的图形数据。此外,现有的图表模型只能捕捉公路网络中的共享交通模式,而如何学习节点模式也是一个挑战。在本文件中,我们建议采用新的传输学习方法,用少量数据解决交通预测,这可以把从数据丰富来源领域学到的知识转移到数据稀缺的目标领域。首先,提出了空间时钟图神经网络,可以捕捉不同公路网络中特定空间时空交通模式。然后,为了提高传输的稳健性,我们设计了基于模式的传输战略,从而利用基于集群的机制,用少量数据解决交通流量预测问题,将数据从数据丰富来源领域学到的知识传递到数据残缺的目标领域。首先,利用空间时空模型,利用这些知识来改进我们数据库域域域域域域域的预测的绩效。